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Much less = More With Tenant

There is a version of the housing market story that gets told over and over, and it goes like this: prices are high, rates are high, nothing is affordable, and the only people buying are the ones with cash. That version is not wrong, exactly. It is just incomplete.

Home prices at the national level have remained well above their pre-pandemic levels even as sales volume collapsed. The reason is supply. The locked-in effect has kept available inventory at historically low levels in most markets, which means the correction that many analysts were expecting simply did not materialize the way the data suggested it should.

Affordability, by the standard measure of what share of median household income goes toward the monthly payment on a median-priced home, is near its worst level since the early 1980s. That is a real problem, and it is not going away quickly. But affordability being stretched does not mean prices are about to fall sharply. What it means, practically, is that the buyer who can close confidently has more leverage than the headline numbers suggest.

Before you look at a single listing, get your financing fully sorted. Not a rough estimate. Not a verbal confirmation from a loan officer you met once. A full pre-approval based on verified income, tax returns, bank statements, and a hard credit pull. Without that letter, you are not a buyer, you are a browser.

If the report surfaces significant deferred maintenance or structural issues, you have real choices, and walking away is a legitimate one of them. You can ask the seller to repair specific items before closing. What you should not do is panic and waive your right to negotiate.

The offer price is one variable among several. The buyer who calls the listing agent before submitting, asks what matters to the seller, and builds the offer around that information wins more often than the buyer who simply goes the highest.

The timing question, whether to buy now or wait for a better moment, is the one that trips up more buyers than any other single factor. No one consistently times the real estate market. The more useful question is not whether now is the right time in the abstract; it is whether you can carry the payment without strain.

Real estate rewards preparation more than it rewards timing. Waiting for a better market is a reasonable position only if your personal situation supports it, otherwise you are just paying rent while prices hold. A look at real estate listings and pricing data in your target area costs nothing and tells you a great deal.